question for math experts

[nikstone]

question for math experts

I was thinking that maybe gambling for Tyraels Might would bring a better chance to find it then killing monsters.
What do you math experts say?

btw. I expect someone to find a Tyraels Might soon, probaly someone who just plays occasionally and doesnt care about mf at all, hihi

 

[farting bob]

the odds of gambling a unique of any item is much lower than it would be to kill monsters for it. i dont know f the maths part, but i do know that gambling for 1 specific item could take years to get it, especially as the odds of finding 1 unique are soo slime, and 9 out of 10 of the unique sacred armours you dofind will be templars.

 

[wildjinn]

Chances for an elite: 1/30
Chances for a unique: 1/2000 (AS is wrong, IIRC)
Chance for tyrael's might: 1/9

Total odds: 1/540,000

chance = .0002%

Gambing an ancient armor costs 489623 gold for my level 90 sorc with an 11% (i think) gheed's.
489623x540000=264396420000 gold. At the estimated gold exploit rate by LprMan, (I think it was him) that of 2 million gold in 15 mins, just this gold will take about 33,000 hours to obtain. I'd say to run the pits instead.

 

[LprMan]

VERY intersting, wildjinn...because:

0.00024902755602% Bone Warrior - [H] Pit Level 1

Thats the chance of getting Tyrael's from unique skeleton when you kill it with 500% MF

If you could gamble all the day without running out of gold, gambling is by far the best way to get Tyrael's :lol:

But now when no-one has infinite amount of gold...

Erm...what was that thread ULTIMATER posted? :wink:

 

[wildjinn]

yeah, but the thing I'm missing is the time it takes to actually find an ancient armor in the gamble screen, which is considerably longer than it'll take to kill the entire pack of skeletons.

 

[LprMan]

yeah, but the thing I'm missing is the time it takes to actually find an ancient armor in the gamble screen, which is considerably longer than it'll take to kill the entire pack of skeletons.

Oh yes, I forgot that

But which is faster, to get Ancient Armor to gamble screen or to find and kill bosspack in Pit?

Hmm...does this all mean I should run Pit on p1 to get Tyrael's as fast as possible?

 

[beau_nidle]

What level would you have to be to get Tyrael's Might from a gamble screen?

 

[Shade]

You'd need to be level 92 to be certain that any Sacred Armour could be Tyrael's (Gambling: ilvl = clvl +4/-5)

 

[wildjinn]

btw, 33,000 hours is > 3.77 years.

 

[whomhead]

btw, 33,000 hours is > 3.77 years.

so that means that if Tyrael's Might had been in the original D2, we'd all have one by now!

 

[Muffassa]

*goes and gets fools dagger*
*racks up a lot of gold*
"here we go!"
*gambles many ancient armors*
"drat - another Templars Might! - I'll go throw it next to my Soul Cages and Ancients Armors of the Whale"

 

[nikstone]

Ok, I will do both.

Run pits on lowest player setting that makes me kill faster, and gamble for my gold as I dont need rings or amulets.

 

[beau_nidle]

Ok, i know it seems like is is nearly impossable to find a Tyraels Might this way, but i've been running Baal and the Pit for so long with no luck i think i'll try gambling my spoils in the vain hope that it will turn up.

Worth a try huh?

 

[nikstone]

Ok, i know it seems like is is nearly impossable to find a Tyraels Might this way, but i've been running Baal and the Pit for so long with no luck i think i'll try gambling my spoils in the vain hope that it will turn up.

Worth a try huh?

Of course its worth a try, you never know, it could be the first one you gamble, and what else would you want gamble for anyway?