Help! Making 3 Ctas?

SeDnA

Diabloii.Net Member
Help! Making 3 Ctas?

Can someone help me calculate the probability of having ONE cta with 2< Battle orders? 3 tries. Thanks =)

Sharaz

Diabloii.Net Member
well, it can be only 1 thru 6, so that would mean you have a 1 in 3 chance of rolling a 2 or less. if your about to make 3... odds are... well odds are your going to keep them no matter what they roll!

SeDnA

Diabloii.Net Member
well, it can be only 1 thru 6, so that would mean you have a 1 in 3 chance of rolling a 2 or less. If your about to make 3... odds are... well odds are your going to keep them no matter what they roll!
Imagine rolling a dice three times with 3 sides, A, B and C. I was asking what the probability would be for me to get ONE B OR C in THREE tries.

krischan

The chance for that is 1 minus the chance for it not to happen = 1 - 1/3 * 1/3 * 1/3 = 0.96 = 96%

Cooked

Diabloii.Net Member
Well...at least I am not trying it.

First try, Oh nuts! Ist BEFORE Ohm!
Second try, Ok... Amn, Ral, Mal, Ist... HEY! Oh NO!! FIVE sockets not FOUR!!
Third try, GOOD! Wait....NUTS! 2 BC 1 BO 1 BC...
Oh well...I'm Off to socket Grief! Where is that Six socket sword I had?

This post paid for by Sockets R Us . Net

LorveN

D3 Off Topic Moderator
Cooked said:
This post paid for by Sockets R Us . Net

No, seriously, rolling anything higher than 2 (out of 6), should statistically be made in the first roll, since the chance is 2/3.
Plain maths, mate!

I, however, stand above laws of nature, and would roll 1's three times in a row.

SeDnA

Diabloii.Net Member
Cooked said:
Well...at least I am not trying it.

First try, Oh nuts! Ist BEFORE Ohm!
Second try, Ok... Amn, Ral, Mal, Ist... HEY! Oh NO!! FIVE sockets not FOUR!!
Third try, GOOD! Wait....NUTS! 2 BC 1 BO 1 BC...
Oh well...I'm Off to socket Grief! Where is that Six socket sword I had?

This post paid for by Sockets R Us . Net
You were ALMOST right anyhow. I got that 4%.

Try 1: +1 BO
Try 2: +2 BO
Try 3: +2 BO

dang79

Diabloii.Net Member
SeDnA said:
You were ALMOST right anyhow. I got that 4%.

Try 1: +1 BO
Try 2: +2 BO
Try 3: +2 BO
Your luck is like mine then. I don't do runewords often for that reason.

SeDnA

Diabloii.Net Member
I'm gonna make ANOTHER! Argh!

dang79

Diabloii.Net Member
SeDnA said:
I'm gonna make ANOTHER! Argh!
You're rich... I got to give you that....

SeDnA

Diabloii.Net Member
Rich? Lol no, i sold my 2nd CTA and I'm gonna sell my third. Lose an ist or so everytime i make a runeword. But anyway, define "rich"

Cooked

Diabloii.Net Member
SeDnA said:
Rich? Lol no, i sold my 2nd CTA and I'm gonna sell my third. Lose an ist or so everytime i make a runeword. But anyway, define "rich"

Rich: Verb, maybe a noun for some, As relates to LoD > Any player having more gear than I do!

Elcold

Diabloii.Net Member
I made 2 6 bo ctas but other than that ive had horrible luck, about 5 1 bo ctas and 4 2 bo ctas. I stopped making them after i made 3 straight 1 bo ctas .

dang79

Diabloii.Net Member
SeDnA said:
Rich? Lol no, i sold my 2nd CTA and I'm gonna sell my third. Lose an ist or so everytime i make a runeword. But anyway, define "rich"
Well, if you've got enough resources to keep rerolling, thats pretty rich in my mind.

SeDnA

Diabloii.Net Member
Well. High Runes in West L is cheaper than High Runes in other L's.