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Help! Making 3 Ctas?

Discussion in 'Diablo 2 Community Forum' started by SeDnA, Apr 28, 2005.

  1. SeDnA

    SeDnA IncGamers Member

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    Help! Making 3 Ctas?

    Can someone help me calculate the probability of having ONE cta with 2< Battle orders? 3 tries. Thanks =)
     
  2. Sharaz

    Sharaz IncGamers Member

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    well, it can be only 1 thru 6, so that would mean you have a 1 in 3 chance of rolling a 2 or less. if your about to make 3... odds are... well odds are your going to keep them no matter what they roll!
     
  3. SeDnA

    SeDnA IncGamers Member

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    Imagine rolling a dice three times with 3 sides, A, B and C. I was asking what the probability would be for me to get ONE B OR C in THREE tries.
     
  4. krischan

    krischan Europe Trade Moderator

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    The chance for that is 1 minus the chance for it not to happen = 1 - 1/3 * 1/3 * 1/3 = 0.96 = 96%
     
  5. Cooked

    Cooked IncGamers Member

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    Well...at least I am not trying it.

    First try, Oh nuts! Ist BEFORE Ohm!
    Second try, Ok... Amn, Ral, Mal, Ist... HEY! Oh NO!! FIVE sockets not FOUR!!
    Third try, GOOD! Wait....NUTS! 2 BC 1 BO 1 BC...
    Oh well...I'm Off to socket Grief! Where is that Six socket sword I had?

    This post paid for by Sockets R Us . Net
     
  6. LorveN

    LorveN D3 Off Topic Moderator

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    Thats advertising! HOW RUDE!

    No, seriously, rolling anything higher than 2 (out of 6), should statistically be made in the first roll, since the chance is 2/3.
    Hey wait. Krishan already made the calculation!
    Plain maths, mate!

    I, however, stand above laws of nature, and would roll 1's three times in a row.
     
  7. SeDnA

    SeDnA IncGamers Member

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    You were ALMOST right anyhow. I got that 4%.

    Try 1: +1 BO
    Try 2: +2 BO
    Try 3: +2 BO
     
  8. dang79

    dang79 IncGamers Member

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    Your luck is like mine then. I don't do runewords often for that reason.
     
  9. SeDnA

    SeDnA IncGamers Member

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    I'm gonna make ANOTHER! Argh!
     
  10. dang79

    dang79 IncGamers Member

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    You're rich... I got to give you that....
     
  11. SeDnA

    SeDnA IncGamers Member

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    Rich? Lol no, i sold my 2nd CTA and I'm gonna sell my third. Lose an ist or so everytime i make a runeword. But anyway, define "rich"
     
  12. Cooked

    Cooked IncGamers Member

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    Rich: Verb, maybe a noun for some, As relates to LoD > Any player having more gear than I do!
     
  13. Elcold

    Elcold IncGamers Member

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    I made 2 6 bo ctas but other than that ive had horrible luck, about 5 1 bo ctas and 4 2 bo ctas. I stopped making them after i made 3 straight 1 bo ctas :D .
     
  14. dang79

    dang79 IncGamers Member

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    Well, if you've got enough resources to keep rerolling, thats pretty rich in my mind.
     
  15. SeDnA

    SeDnA IncGamers Member

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    Well. High Runes in West L is cheaper than High Runes in other L's.
     

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